This card30d 90d 1y All-time
Alloy Adam #AN1b 2021 Garbage Pail Kids Chrome · Refractor /299 · PSA 10
Refractor /299
ScarcityNumbered to 299 · 1 in 3 packs · PSA has graded more of this parallel than the base
Print run 299, as stated by PSA’s parallel list. Topps’ stated pack odds: Refractor 1:3. PSA has graded 12 of the base card and 37 of this parallel (all grades). Graded counts are not print runs.
PSA pop21
PSA 10 · 2021 Garbage Pail Kids Chrome →
PSA pop · this parallel
21
Card #
All grades · value and PSA population
ALLOY ADAM ACTIVE🟢 lowest on eBay: $131 all-in
🛒 2 listings on eBay now PSA 10 SLAB ×1 · RAW ×1
RAW (UNGRADED) — NOT A GRADED VALUE
$3
4 raw sales used for this value
view raw sales →
Front
Back
Price history · PSA 10
On-the-record sales go back as far as PSA reports them — late 2017 for GPK — plus eBay-tracked and raw sales as they land.
🗑️ The Garbologist says…
No Sale In 12 Months
The Garbologist has been digging through this one's trash.
- 7 recorded sales · 0 in the last year · trades only a few times a year · moderate-confidence sample.
- The recent trail reads $33 → $25 → $45 → $8 → $33 — choppy but broadly rangebound.
- Heads up: the last recorded sale ($33 on 2025-04-15) landed 23% below our current value — weigh it as a single data point.
- Net-net, nobody has sold this card at this grade in the last 12 months, so the trail above is history, not today's market. We don't call a direction until it sells again.
Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.
Alloy Adam — across every card
Subject page →Every Alloy Adam card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.
🧬 Should I slab it?
Keep it rawAbout 7 in 10 copies of 2021 Chrome Refractor cards get a 10, and a 9 is worth $22 — less than the $92 it costs to grade. Even a 10 ($42) would leave you about -$50 after costs, not more than raw.
Expected value if gradedunder $0 (the likely slab, $35, is $57 short of the $92 all-in cost)
Raw value today$3 (from 4 raw sales)
VerdictKeep it raw
Even a PSA 10 would not beat the raw value.
Chance of a PSA 10
65%
2021 Chrome Refractor cards · 461 graded
PSA 10 value
$42
today · ~$42 by Feb 12, 2027
PSA 9 value
$22
today · ~$22 by Feb 12, 2027
All-in cost
$92
PSA fee $60 + shipping both ways $32
How these numbers work
All-in cost $92: PSA Standard tier fee $60 per card, insured shipping to PSA ~$12, PSA insured return shipping ~$20. Sending it to your PSA Vault instead skips return shipping (vault intake and storage are free): ~$72 all-in, so a graded copy would net ~under $0.
Grade odds (2021 Chrome Refractor cards, 461 PSA-graded): 10 · 65%, 9 · 30%, 8 · 4%, 7 or lower · <1%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Grade odds (2021 Chrome Refractor cards, 461 PSA-graded): 10 · 65%, 9 · 30%, 8 · 4%, 7 or lower · <1%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Alloy Adam #AN1B Refractor /299 Garbage Pail Kids value by grade
| Grade | Value | Sales | PSA pop |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $42 | 7 | 21 |
| PSA 9 | $22 | 6 | 14 |
| PSA 8 | $22 | 1 | 2 |
Every grade of this card on one page. Est. = no sale at that grade yet. Tap a grade above to switch the whole page to it.
