18 recorded sales · 11 in the last year · trades every few months · high-confidence sample.
Its last few sales went $40 → $40 → $46 → $42 → $45 — a clear march higher.
Median moved +55% across the window ($21 → $40).
Net-net, the momentum points up — real buyers are paying more, more often. Not a promise, just what the garbage is telling us.

Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.

Shohei Ohtani — across every card

Subject page →

Every Shohei Ohtani card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.

🧬 Should I slab it?

BORDERLINE

Roughly a 51% gem rate on the 2020 GPK PSA pop (all sets that year) - graded pop is self-selected (best copies get submitted), so a random raw likely grades lower. Expected ~$96 before the $80 PSA fee (fee only - excludes shipping & insurance), ~$17 after - about even with a raw copy ($5 from 407 raw sales). A coin flip that only pays off on a high grade.

Gem (PSA 10) rate

51%

2020 GPK, all sets · 94,658 graded

PSA 10 value

$147

if you hit the ten

Grading cost

$80

PSA Regular tier

Expected after grade

$16

vs raw $5 from 407 raw sales

Probability-weighted across grades using PSA population (2020 GPK, all sets) as a proxy for cut & print quality, minus the grading fee. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and eye-appeal on your specific copy decide the grade.

PSA 10	$147 pop —
PSA 9	$53 EST. pop —
PSA 8	$24 EST. pop —
PSA 7	$11 EST. pop —
PSA 6	$5 EST. pop —
PSA 5	$2 EST. pop —
PSA 4	$1 EST. pop —
PSA 3	$1 EST. pop —
PSA 2	$1 EST. pop —
PSA 1	$1 EST. pop —