This card30d 90d 1y All-time
Shel Game #581a 1988 Garbage Pail Kids Series 15 · Die-Cut-Checklist · PSA 8
Die-Cut-Checklist
ScarcityPSA has graded 1.7x more base copies
PSA has graded 29 of the base card and 17 of this parallel (all grades). Graded counts are not print runs.
PSA pop4
PSA pop · this parallel
4
Card #
⇄ 581B3-Card Monte
All grades · value and PSA population
SHEL GAME ACTIVE🛒 1 listing on eBay now RAW
RAW (UNGRADED) — NOT A GRADED VALUE
$2
1 raw sale used for this value
view raw sales →
Front
Back
Price history · PSA 8
On-the-record sales go back as far as PSA reports them — late 2017 for GPK — plus eBay-tracked and raw sales as they land.
🗑️ The Garbologist says…
Cooling Off
The Garbologist has been digging through this one's trash.
- 3 recorded sales · 3 in the last year · trades only a few times a year · limited-confidence sample.
- Its last few sales went $13 → $9 → $10 — a steady drift lower.
- Median moved -28% across the window ($13 → $9).
- Heads up: the last recorded sale ($10 on 2026-09-06) landed 23% below our current value — weigh it as a single data point.
- Census check: PSA has graded 15 of this card, and only 33.3% come back a 10 — gems fairly readily.
- Net-net, the heat is coming off — recent sales are softening. Could be a breather, could be a top; the trash doesn't say which.
Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.
Shel Game — across every card
Subject page →Every Shel Game card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.
🧬 Should I slab it?
Only if you're confident it's a 10Only about 1 in 3 copies of 1988 Original Series 15 cards get a 10, and a 9 is worth $45 — less than the $92 it costs to grade.
Expected value if gradedunder $0 (the likely slab, $66, is $26 short of the $92 all-in cost)
Raw value today$2 (from 1 raw sale)
VerdictOnly if you're confident it's a 10
Break-even: you need about a 64% chance of a PSA 10 (all 1988 Original Series 15 cards: 35%).
Chance of a PSA 10
35%
all 1988 Original Series 15 cards · 4,079 graded
PSA 10 value
$129
today · ~$129 by Feb 12, 2027
PSA 9 value
$45
today · ~$45 by Feb 12, 2027
All-in cost
$92
PSA fee $60 + shipping both ways $32
How these numbers work
All-in cost $92: PSA Standard tier fee $60 per card, insured shipping to PSA ~$12, PSA insured return shipping ~$20. Sending it to your PSA Vault instead skips return shipping (vault intake and storage are free): ~$72 all-in, so a graded copy would net ~under $0.
Grade odds (all 1988 Original Series 15 cards, 4,079 PSA-graded): 10 · 35%, 9 · 41%, 8 · 13%, 7 or lower · 11%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Grade odds (all 1988 Original Series 15 cards, 4,079 PSA-graded): 10 · 35%, 9 · 41%, 8 · 13%, 7 or lower · 11%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Shel Game #581a Die-Cut-Checklist Garbage Pail Kids value by grade
| Grade | Value | Sales | PSA pop |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 8 | $13 | 3 | 4 |
| PSA 7 | $9 est. | 0 | 1 |
| PSA 5 | $7 est. | 0 | 3 |
Every grade of this card on one page. Est. = no sale at that grade yet. Tap a grade above to switch the whole page to it.
