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Shel Game #581a 1988 Garbage Pail Kids Series 15 · Checklist · PSA 9
Checklist
ScarcityPSA has graded 1.6x more base copies
PSA has graded 29 of the base card and 18 of this parallel (all grades). Graded counts are not print runs.
PSA pop11
All grades · value and PSA population
SHEL GAME ACTIVEno PSA 9 listed on eBay right now
Front
Back
Price history · PSA 9
On-the-record sales go back as far as PSA reports them — late 2017 for GPK — plus eBay-tracked and raw sales as they land.
🗑️ The Garbologist says…
Trending Up
The Garbologist has been digging through this one's trash.
- 4 recorded sales · 3 in the last year · trades only a few times a year · limited-confidence sample.
- Its last few sales went $13 → $17 → $17 → $23 — a clear march higher.
- Median moved +33% across the window ($15 → $20).
- Net-net, the momentum points up — real buyers are paying more, more often. Not a promise, just what the garbage is telling us.
Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.
Shel Game — across every card
Subject page →Every Shel Game card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.
🧬 Should I slab it?
No raw price yetOnly about 1 in 3 copies of 1988 Original Series 15 cards get a 10. A graded copy should be worth about $0 after the $92 cost; we have no raw sale of this card to compare.
Expected value if gradedunder $0 (the likely slab, $44, is $48 short of the $92 all-in cost)
Raw value todayNo raw sales yet
VerdictNo raw price yet
Break-even: you need about a 99% chance of a PSA 10 (all 1988 Original Series 15 cards: 35%).
Chance of a PSA 10
35%
all 1988 Original Series 15 cards · 4,079 graded
PSA 10 value
$93
today · ~$93 by Feb 12, 2027
PSA 9 value
$20
today · ~$20 by Feb 12, 2027
All-in cost
$92
PSA fee $60 + shipping both ways $32
How these numbers work
All-in cost $92: PSA Standard tier fee $60 per card, insured shipping to PSA ~$12, PSA insured return shipping ~$20. Sending it to your PSA Vault instead skips return shipping (vault intake and storage are free): ~$72 all-in, so a graded copy would net ~under $0.
Grade odds (all 1988 Original Series 15 cards, 4,079 PSA-graded): 10 · 35%, 9 · 41%, 8 · 13%, 7 or lower · 11%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Grade odds (all 1988 Original Series 15 cards, 4,079 PSA-graded): 10 · 35%, 9 · 41%, 8 · 13%, 7 or lower · 11%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Shel Game #581a Checklist 1988 Garbage Pail Kids value by grade
| Grade | Value | Sales | PSA pop |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $93 | 5 | 6 |
| PSA 9 | $20 | 4 | 11 |
| PSA 6 | $8 est. | 0 | 1 |
Every grade of this card on one page. Est. = no sale at that grade yet. Tap a grade above to switch the whole page to it.
