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Teddy Bear #164a 1986 Garbage Pail Kids Series 4 · PSA 9
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All grades · value and PSA population
TEDDY BEAR ACTIVEno PSA 9 listed on eBay right now
RAW (UNGRADED) — NOT A GRADED VALUE
$2
33 raw sales used for this value
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Price history · PSA 9
On-the-record sales go back as far as PSA reports them — late 2017 for GPK — plus eBay-tracked and raw sales as they land.
🗑️ The Garbologist says…
Trending Up
The Garbologist sniffed around the sales pile.
- 16 recorded sales · 4 in the last year · trades only a few times a year · moderate-confidence sample.
- Following the trash: $15 → $35 → $26 → $50 → $35 — a clear march higher.
- Median moved +61% across the window ($15 → $24).
- Census check: PSA has graded 126 of this card, and only 24.6% come back a 10 — gems fairly readily.
- Net-net, the momentum points up — real buyers are paying more, more often. Not a promise, just what the garbage is telling us.
Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.
Teddy Bear — across every card
Subject page →Every Teddy Bear card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.
🧬 Should I slab it?
Only if you're confident it's a 10Only about 1 in 4 copies of this card get a 10, and a 9 is worth $41 — less than the $92 it costs to grade.
Expected value if gradedunder $0 (the likely slab, $52, is $40 short of the $92 all-in cost)
Raw value today$2 (from 33 raw sales)
VerdictOnly if you're confident it's a 10
Break-even: you need about a 78% chance of a PSA 10 (this card: 25%).
Chance of a PSA 10
25%
this card · 126 graded
PSA 10 value
$101
today · ~$111 by Feb 12, 2027
PSA 9 value
$37
today · ~$41 by Feb 12, 2027
All-in cost
$92
PSA fee $60 + shipping both ways $32
How these numbers work
All-in cost $92: PSA Standard tier fee $60 per card, insured shipping to PSA ~$12, PSA insured return shipping ~$20. Sending it to your PSA Vault instead skips return shipping (vault intake and storage are free): ~$72 all-in, so a graded copy would net ~under $0.
Grade odds (this card, 126 PSA-graded): 10 · 25%, 9 · 37%, 8 · 19%, 7 or lower · 20%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values +10% (half the set's 3-month rise of 25%, capped at +10%).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Grade odds (this card, 126 PSA-graded): 10 · 25%, 9 · 37%, 8 · 19%, 7 or lower · 20%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values +10% (half the set's 3-month rise of 25%, capped at +10%).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Teddy Bear #164a 1986 Garbage Pail Kids Series 4 value by grade
| Grade | Value | Sales | PSA pop |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $101 | 16 | 31 |
| PSA 9 | $37 | 16 | 46 |
| PSA 8 | $29 | 13 | 24 |
| PSA 7 | $17 | 5 | 10 |
| PSA 6 | $15 | 1 | 6 |
| PSA 5 | $14 | 2 | 6 |
| PSA 4 | $10 est. | 0 | 3 |
Every grade of this card on one page. Est. = no sale at that grade yet. Tap a grade above to switch the whole page to it.
