Set ↗30d+11%not clear yet90d+25%1y+91%
This card30d 90d 1y All-time 

Teddy Bear #164a 1986 Garbage Pail Kids Series 4 · PSA 8

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PSA pop24

PSA 8 · 1986 Garbage Pail Kids Original Series 4 →

⤵ Sell · next 3 monthsIts one sale in the last 3 months, $60, was far above the about $12 it sold for in the nine months before. After a jump like this the next sales usually came in lower than the jump sale, though well above the old price (1,655 cards since 2019). The set is rising, but this card has already jumped well ahead of it.
PSA pop · this parallel
24
Card # 164a⇄ 164BBattered Brad
GPK Price Guide Value iBased on this card’s sales at this grade: the newest sale ($60, Oct 21) counts most; 5 sales in the last year near $20; and 5 older sales from 2024-2025 near $8.01, about $14 after the set's rise since.
$29
PSA 8 · from 13 real sales · last sold Oct 21▲ +142%
PSA 10 comp $101
no PSA 8 listed on eBay right now
RAW (UNGRADED) — NOT A GRADED VALUE
$2
33 raw sales used for this value view raw sales →
● real comps ● est. — own older sales ● est. — never sold ● unsold
Price history · PSA 8
On-the-record sales go back as far as PSA reports them — late 2017 for GPK — plus eBay-tracked and raw sales as they land.
DatePriceGradeCertType
2026-10-21$60PSA 867829990 ↗BestOffer
2026-03-25$19.98PSA 872798846 ↗Auction
2025-12-10$11.50PSA 891767782 ↗Auction
2025-12-10$11.50PSA 891767783 ↗Auction
2025-12-01$24PSA 872055542 ↗BestOffer
2025-11-23$11.19PSA 877709037 ↗BestOffer
2025-07-14$40PSA 867829990 ↗BestOffer
2025-07-03$5.50PSA 891767784 ↗Auction
2025-03-30$6.50PSA 866959663 ↗Auction
2024-05-07$8.50PSA 854623072 ↗Auction
Newest 10 of 13 sales at this grade

🗑️ The Garbologist says…

Trending Up
The Garbologist sniffed around the sales pile.
  • 13 recorded sales · 6 in the last year · trades only a few times a year · moderate-confidence sample.
  • Its last few sales went $24 → $12 → $12 → $20 → $60 — a clear march higher.
  • Median moved +142% across the window ($8 → $20).
  • Heads up: the last recorded sale ($60 on 2026-10-21) landed 107% above our current value — weigh it as a single data point.
  • Census check: PSA has graded 126 of this card, and only 24.6% come back a 10 — gems fairly readily.
  • Net-net, the momentum points up — real buyers are paying more, more often. Not a promise, just what the garbage is telling us.

Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.

Teddy Bear — across every card

Subject page →
Every Teddy Bear card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.

🧬 Should I slab it?

Only if you're confident it's a 10

Only about 1 in 4 copies of this card get a 10, and a 9 is worth $41 — less than the $92 it costs to grade.

Expected value if gradedunder $0 (the likely slab, $52, is $40 short of the $92 all-in cost)
Raw value today$2 (from 33 raw sales)
VerdictOnly if you're confident it's a 10

Break-even: you need about a 78% chance of a PSA 10 (this card: 25%).

Chance of a PSA 10
25%
this card · 126 graded
PSA 10 value
$101
today · ~$111 by Feb 12, 2027
PSA 9 value
$37
today · ~$41 by Feb 12, 2027
All-in cost
$92
PSA fee $60 + shipping both ways $32
How these numbers work
All-in cost $92: PSA Standard tier fee $60 per card, insured shipping to PSA ~$12, PSA insured return shipping ~$20. Sending it to your PSA Vault instead skips return shipping (vault intake and storage are free): ~$72 all-in, so a graded copy would net ~under $0.
Grade odds (this card, 126 PSA-graded): 10 · 25%, 9 · 37%, 8 · 19%, 7 or lower · 20%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values +10% (half the set's 3-month rise of 25%, capped at +10%).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.

Teddy Bear #164a 1986 Garbage Pail Kids Series 4 value by grade

GradeValueSalesPSA pop
PSA 10$1011631
PSA 9$371646
PSA 8$291324
PSA 7$17510
PSA 6$1516
PSA 5$1426
PSA 4$10 est.03

Every grade of this card on one page. Est. = no sale at that grade yet. Tap a grade above to switch the whole page to it.

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