This card30d 90d 1y All-time
Adam Ball #209a 2022 Garbage Pail Kids Sapphire Edition · Black /125 · PSA 9
Black /125
ScarcityNumbered to 125 · 1 in 14 packs · PSA has graded 10x more base copies
Print run 125, as stated by PSA’s parallel list and geepeekay.com. Topps’ stated pack odds: Black 1:14. PSA has graded 60 of the base card and 6 of this parallel (all grades). Graded counts are not print runs.
PSA pop1
All grades · value and PSA population
ADAM BALL ACTIVE🛒 1 listing on eBay now RAW
RAW (UNGRADED) — NOT A GRADED VALUE
$25
2 raw sales used for this value
view raw sales →
Front
Back
Price history · PSA 9
On-the-record sales go back as far as PSA reports them — late 2017 for GPK — plus eBay-tracked and raw sales as they land.
🗑️ The Garbologist says…
Too Thin To Call
Straight from the Garbologist's clipboard:
- Nobody's actually sold this exact card and grade on record, so there's no live market to read — the price you see is a modeled estimate, not a realized sale.
- With this little to go on, the honest answer is we can't call a direction — one auction would swing the whole read.
Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.
Adam Ball — across every card
Subject page →Every Adam Ball card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.
🧬 Should I slab it?
Grade itAbout 6 in 10 copies of 2022 Sapphire Edition Black cards get a 10; across every grade, a graded copy should be worth about $158, more than the $92 it costs to grade plus the $25 raw copy you give up.
Expected value if graded$66 (after $92 all-in cost)
Raw value today$25 (from 2 raw sales)
VerdictGrade it
Break-even: you need about a 41% chance of a PSA 10 (2022 Sapphire Edition Black cards: 63%).
Chance of a PSA 10
63%
2022 Sapphire Edition Black cards · 210 graded
PSA 10 value
$228
today · ~$228 by Feb 11, 2027
PSA 9 value
$41
today · ~$41 by Feb 11, 2027
All-in cost
$92
PSA fee $60 + shipping both ways $32
How these numbers work
All-in cost $92: PSA Standard tier fee $60 per card, insured shipping to PSA ~$12, PSA insured return shipping ~$20. Sending it to your PSA Vault instead skips return shipping (vault intake and storage are free): ~$72 all-in, so a graded copy would net ~$86.
Grade odds (2022 Sapphire Edition Black cards, 210 PSA-graded): 10 · 63%, 9 · 36%, 8 · <1%, 7 or lower · 0%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 11, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Grade odds (2022 Sapphire Edition Black cards, 210 PSA-graded): 10 · 63%, 9 · 36%, 8 · <1%, 7 or lower · 0%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 11, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
