This card30d 90d 1y All-time
Fred Thread #174a 2022 Garbage Pail Kids Sapphire Edition · Black /125 · PSA 10
Black /125
ScarcityNumbered to 125 · 1 in 14 packs
Print run 125, as stated by PSA’s parallel list and geepeekay.com. Topps’ stated pack odds: Black 1:14.
PSA pop4
All grades · value and PSA population
FRED THREAD ACTIVEno PSA 10 listed on eBay right now
RAW (UNGRADED) — NOT A GRADED VALUE
$5
4 older raw sales used for this value
view raw sales →
Front
Back
Price history · PSA 10
On-the-record sales go back as far as PSA reports them — late 2017 for GPK — plus eBay-tracked and raw sales as they land.
🗑️ The Garbologist says…
Too Few Recent Sales
The Garbologist popped the lid on this card.
- 3 recorded sales · 1 in the last year · trades only a few times a year · limited-confidence sample.
- Its last few sales went $31 → $32 → $16 — ran up to a peak of $32, then cooled back off.
- Heads up: the last recorded sale ($16 on 2026-04-20) landed 61% below our current value — weigh it as a single data point.
- None
Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.
Fred Thread — across every card
Subject page →Every Fred Thread card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.
🧬 Should I slab it?
Keep it rawAbout 6 in 10 copies of 2022 Sapphire Edition Black cards get a 10, and a 9 is worth $17 — less than the $92 it costs to grade. Even a 10 ($42) would leave you about -$50 after costs, not more than raw.
Expected value if gradedunder $0 (the likely slab, $33, is $59 short of the $92 all-in cost)
Raw value today$5 (typical of 4 older raw sales (newest May 2024)
VerdictKeep it raw
Even a PSA 10 would not beat the raw value.
Chance of a PSA 10
63%
2022 Sapphire Edition Black cards · 210 graded
PSA 10 value
$42
today · ~$42 by Feb 12, 2027
PSA 9 value
$17
today · ~$17 by Feb 12, 2027
All-in cost
$92
PSA fee $60 + shipping both ways $32
How these numbers work
All-in cost $92: PSA Standard tier fee $60 per card, insured shipping to PSA ~$12, PSA insured return shipping ~$20. Sending it to your PSA Vault instead skips return shipping (vault intake and storage are free): ~$72 all-in, so a graded copy would net ~under $0.
Grade odds (2022 Sapphire Edition Black cards, 210 PSA-graded): 10 · 63%, 9 · 36%, 8 · <1%, 7 or lower · 0%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Grade odds (2022 Sapphire Edition Black cards, 210 PSA-graded): 10 · 63%, 9 · 36%, 8 · <1%, 7 or lower · 0%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Fred Thread #174a Black /125 2022 Garbage Pail Kids value by grade
| Grade | Value | Sales | PSA pop |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $42 | 3 | 4 |
| PSA 9 | $17 est. | 0 | 2 |
Every grade of this card on one page. Est. = no sale at that grade yet. Tap a grade above to switch the whole page to it.
