Adam Ball #209a
Refractor
Scarcity1 in 3 packs
Topps’ stated pack odds: Refractor 1:3.
Active on eBay · for sale now
PSA pop8
PSA 9 · 2022 Garbage Pail Kids Chrome →
All grades · value and PSA population
🟢 lowest on eBay: $24.49 all-in
🛒 1 listing on eBay now PSA 9 SLAB
RAW (UNGRADED) — NOT A GRADED VALUE
$2
7 raw sales used for this value
view raw sales →
Front
Back
Price history · PSA 9
On-the-record sales go back as far as PSA reports them — late 2017 for GPK — plus eBay-tracked and raw sales as they land.
🗑️ The Garbologist says…
Too Thin To Call
The Garbologist has been digging through this one's trash.
- Only 2 recorded sales on the books — not enough for a trend without kidding ourselves. The last one changed hands at $9 on 2026-03-09.
- With this little to go on, the honest answer is we can't call a direction — one auction would swing the whole read.
Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.
Adam Ball — across every card
Subject page →Every Adam Ball card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.
🧬 Should I slab it?
Keep it rawAbout 1 in 3 copies of 2022 Chrome Refractor cards get a 10, and a 9 is worth $25 — less than the $92 it costs to grade. Even a 10 ($43) would leave you about -$49 after costs, not more than raw.
Expected value if gradedunder $0 (the likely slab, $32, is $60 short of the $92 all-in cost)
Raw value today$2 (from 7 raw sales)
VerdictKeep it raw
Even a PSA 10 would not beat the raw value.
Chance of a PSA 10
39%
2022 Chrome Refractor cards · 257 graded
PSA 10 value
$43
today · ~$43 by Jan 21, 2027
PSA 9 value
$25
today · ~$25 by Jan 21, 2027
All-in cost
$92
PSA fee $60 + shipping both ways $32
How these numbers work
All-in cost $92: PSA Standard tier fee $60 per card, insured shipping to PSA ~$12, PSA insured return shipping ~$20. Sending it to your PSA Vault instead skips return shipping (vault intake and storage are free): ~$72 all-in, so a graded copy would net ~under $0.
Grade odds (2022 Chrome Refractor cards, 257 PSA-graded): 10 · 39%, 9 · 48%, 8 · 11%, 7 or lower · 2%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Jan 21, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Grade odds (2022 Chrome Refractor cards, 257 PSA-graded): 10 · 39%, 9 · 48%, 8 · 11%, 7 or lower · 2%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Jan 21, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
