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Adam Ball #209a 2022 Garbage Pail Kids Chrome · Red Refractor /5 · PSA 9
Red Refractor /5
ScarcityNumbered to 5 · 1 in 2,095 packs
Print run 5, as stated by PSA’s parallel list and a published checklist and geepeekay.com. Topps’ stated pack odds: Red Refractor 1:2,095.
PSA pop1
PSA 9 · 2022 Garbage Pail Kids Chrome →
All grades · value and PSA population
ADAM BALL ACTIVEno PSA 9 listed on eBay right now
RAW (UNGRADED) — NOT A GRADED VALUE
$1,500
1 older raw sale used for this value
view raw sales →
Front
Back
Price history · PSA 9
On-the-record sales go back as far as PSA reports them — late 2017 for GPK — plus eBay-tracked and raw sales as they land.
🗑️ The Garbologist says…
Too Thin To Call
The Garbologist has been digging through this one's trash.
- Only 1 recorded sale on the books — not enough for a trend without kidding ourselves. The last one changed hands at $1,050 on 2025-02-07.
- With this little to go on, the honest answer is we can't call a direction — one auction would swing the whole read.
Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.
Adam Ball — across every card
Subject page →Every Adam Ball card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.
🧬 Should I slab it?
Keep it rawAbout 1 in 3 copies of 2022 Chrome cards get a 10. A 10 is worth $1,857, but after the $241 cost it barely beats the $1,500 raw copy.
Expected value if graded$1,454 (after $241 all-in cost)
Raw value today$1,500 (typical of 1 older raw sale (newest Jul 2024)
VerdictKeep it raw
Break-even: you need about a 54% chance of a PSA 10 (all 2022 Chrome cards: 36%).
Chance of a PSA 10
36%
all 2022 Chrome cards · 2,590 graded
PSA 10 value
$1,857
today · ~$1,857 by Feb 13, 2027
PSA 9 value
$1,857
today · ~$1,857 by Feb 13, 2027
All-in cost
$241
PSA fee $199 + shipping both ways $42
How these numbers work
All-in cost $241: PSA Express tier fee $199 per card, insured shipping to PSA ~$12, PSA insured return shipping ~$30. Sending it to your PSA Vault instead skips return shipping (vault intake and storage are free): ~$211 all-in, so a graded copy would net ~$1,484.
Grade odds (all 2022 Chrome cards, 2,590 PSA-graded): 10 · 36%, 9 · 49%, 8 · 11%, 7 or lower · 4%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 13, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Grade odds (all 2022 Chrome cards, 2,590 PSA-graded): 10 · 36%, 9 · 49%, 8 · 11%, 7 or lower · 4%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 13, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Adam Ball #209a Red Refractor /5 Garbage Pail Kids value by grade
| Grade | Value | Sales | PSA pop |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $1,857 est. | 0 | 1 |
| PSA 9 | $1,857 | 1 | 1 |
Every grade of this card on one page. Est. = no sale at that grade yet. Tap a grade above to switch the whole page to it.
