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Mel Meal #188a 2022 Garbage Pail Kids Chrome · Green Refractor /299 · PSA 9
Green Refractor /299
ScarcityNumbered to 299 · 1 in 42–757 packs
Print run 299, as stated by PSA’s parallel list and geepeekay.com. Topps’ stated pack odds (they differ by box type): Green Refractor 1:42 / Green Refractor 1:757 (article: blaster odds 8x-9x Chrome 4, don't appear accurate).
PSA pop2
PSA 9 · 2022 Garbage Pail Kids Chrome →
All grades · value and PSA population
MEL MEAL ACTIVEno PSA 9 listed on eBay right now
RAW (UNGRADED) — NOT A GRADED VALUE
$12
5 older raw sales used for this value
view raw sales →
Front
Back
Price history · PSA 9
On-the-record sales go back as far as PSA reports them — late 2017 for GPK — plus eBay-tracked and raw sales as they land.
🗑️ The Garbologist says…
Too Thin To Call
Straight from the Garbologist's clipboard:
- Nobody's actually sold this exact card and grade on record, so there's no live market to read — the price you see is a modeled estimate, not a realized sale.
- With this little to go on, the honest answer is we can't call a direction — one auction would swing the whole read.
Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.
Mel Meal — across every card
Subject page →Every Mel Meal card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.
🧬 Should I slab it?
Keep it rawAbout 1 in 3 copies of 2022 Chrome cards get a 10, and a 9 is worth $12 — less than the $92 it costs to grade. Even a 10 ($18) would leave you about -$74 after costs, not more than raw.
Expected value if gradedunder $0 (the likely slab, $14, is $78 short of the $92 all-in cost)
Raw value today$12 (typical of 5 older raw sales (newest Jun 2024)
VerdictKeep it raw
Even a PSA 10 would not beat the raw value.
Chance of a PSA 10
36%
all 2022 Chrome cards · 2,590 graded
PSA 10 value
$18
today · ~$18 by Feb 13, 2027
PSA 9 value
$12
today · ~$12 by Feb 13, 2027
All-in cost
$92
PSA fee $60 + shipping both ways $32
How these numbers work
All-in cost $92: PSA Standard tier fee $60 per card, insured shipping to PSA ~$12, PSA insured return shipping ~$20. Sending it to your PSA Vault instead skips return shipping (vault intake and storage are free): ~$72 all-in, so a graded copy would net ~under $0.
Grade odds (all 2022 Chrome cards, 2,590 PSA-graded): 10 · 36%, 9 · 49%, 8 · 11%, 7 or lower · 4%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 13, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Grade odds (all 2022 Chrome cards, 2,590 PSA-graded): 10 · 36%, 9 · 49%, 8 · 11%, 7 or lower · 4%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 13, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
