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Nailed Neil #155b 2021 Garbage Pail Kids Sapphire Edition · Orange /25 · PSA 10
Orange /25
ScarcityNumbered to 25 · 1 in 41 packs
Print run 25, as stated by PSA’s parallel list and a published checklist and geepeekay.com. Topps’ stated pack odds: Orange 1:41.
PSA pop3
All grades · value and PSA population
no PSA 10 listed on eBay right now
Front
Back
Price history · PSA 10
On-the-record sales go back as far as PSA reports them — late 2017 for GPK — plus eBay-tracked and raw sales as they land.
🗑️ The Garbologist says…
Too Few Recent Sales
Straight from the Garbologist's clipboard:
- 4 recorded sales · 1 in the last year · trades only a few times a year · limited-confidence sample.
- Its last few sales went $46 → $89 → $16 → $41 — ran up to a peak of $89, then cooled back off.
- Heads up: the last recorded sale ($41 on 2026-07-23) landed 56% below our current value — weigh it as a single data point.
- None
Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.
Nailed Neil — across every card
Subject page →Every Nailed Neil card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.
🧬 Should I slab it?
No raw price yetAbout 1 in 2 copies of 2021 Sapphire Edition cards get a 10. A graded copy should be worth about $0 after the $92 cost; we have no raw sale of this card to compare.
Expected value if gradedunder $0 (the likely slab, $64, is $28 short of the $92 all-in cost)
Raw value todayNo raw sales yet
VerdictNo raw price yet
Break-even: you need about a 96% chance of a PSA 10 (all 2021 Sapphire Edition cards: 46%).
Chance of a PSA 10
46%
all 2021 Sapphire Edition cards · 3,251 graded
PSA 10 value
$94
today · ~$94 by Feb 12, 2027
PSA 9 value
$41
today · ~$41 by Feb 12, 2027
All-in cost
$92
PSA fee $60 + shipping both ways $32
How these numbers work
All-in cost $92: PSA Standard tier fee $60 per card, insured shipping to PSA ~$12, PSA insured return shipping ~$20. Sending it to your PSA Vault instead skips return shipping (vault intake and storage are free): ~$72 all-in, so a graded copy would net ~under $0.
Grade odds (all 2021 Sapphire Edition cards, 3,251 PSA-graded): 10 · 46%, 9 · 43%, 8 · 8%, 7 or lower · 2%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Grade odds (all 2021 Sapphire Edition cards, 3,251 PSA-graded): 10 · 46%, 9 · 43%, 8 · 8%, 7 or lower · 2%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Nailed Neil #155b Orange /25 2021 Garbage Pail Kids value by grade
| Grade | Value | Sales | PSA pop |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $94 | 4 | 3 |
Every grade of this card on one page. Est. = no sale at that grade yet. Tap a grade above to switch the whole page to it.
