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Alien Ian #138a 2021 Garbage Pail Kids Sapphire Edition · Red /5 · PSA 10
Red /5
ScarcityNumbered to 5 · 1 in 203 packs · PSA has graded 1.9x more base copies
Print run 5, as stated by PSA’s parallel list and a published checklist and geepeekay.com. Topps’ stated pack odds: Red 1:203. PSA has graded 17 of the base card and 9 of this parallel (all grades). Graded counts are not print runs.
PSA pop2
All grades · value and PSA population
ALIEN IAN ACTIVEno PSA 10 listed on eBay right now
RAW (UNGRADED) — NOT A GRADED VALUE
$3,475
1 older raw sale used for this value
view raw sales →
Front
Back
Price history · PSA 10
On-the-record sales go back as far as PSA reports them — late 2017 for GPK — plus eBay-tracked and raw sales as they land.
🗑️ The Garbologist says…
Too Thin To Call
Straight from the Garbologist's clipboard:
- Nobody's actually sold this exact card and grade on record, so there's no live market to read — the price you see is a modeled estimate, not a realized sale.
- With this little to go on, the honest answer is we can't call a direction — one auction would swing the whole read.
Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.
Alien Ian — across every card
Subject page →Every Alien Ian card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.
🧬 Should I slab it?
Keep it rawAbout 1 in 2 copies of 2021 Sapphire Edition cards get a 10, and a 9 is worth $605 — after the $102 cost that is less than the $3,475 raw copy. Even a 10 ($769) would leave you about $667 after costs, not more than raw.
Expected value if graded$547 (after $102 all-in cost)
Raw value today$3,475 (typical of 1 older raw sale (newest Oct 2024)
VerdictKeep it raw
Even a PSA 10 would not beat the raw value.
Chance of a PSA 10
46%
all 2021 Sapphire Edition cards · 3,255 graded
PSA 10 value
$769
today · ~$769 by Feb 12, 2027
PSA 9 value
$605
today · ~$605 by Feb 12, 2027
All-in cost
$102
PSA fee $60 + shipping both ways $42
How these numbers work
All-in cost $102: PSA Standard tier fee $60 per card, insured shipping to PSA ~$12, PSA insured return shipping ~$30. Sending it to your PSA Vault instead skips return shipping (vault intake and storage are free): ~$72 all-in, so a graded copy would net ~$577.
Grade odds (all 2021 Sapphire Edition cards, 3,255 PSA-graded): 10 · 46%, 9 · 43%, 8 · 8%, 7 or lower · 2%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Grade odds (all 2021 Sapphire Edition cards, 3,255 PSA-graded): 10 · 46%, 9 · 43%, 8 · 8%, 7 or lower · 2%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
