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Alien Ian #138a 2021 Garbage Pail Kids Chrome · Atomic Refractor /199 · PSA 10
Atomic Refractor /199
Scarcity4,150 made · 1 in 2 packs · PSA has graded 2x more base copies
4,150 made, per GPKNews. Topps’ stated pack odds: Atomic Refractor 1:2. PSA has graded 14 of the base card and 7 of this parallel (all grades). Graded counts are not print runs.
PSA pop2
PSA 10 · 2021 Garbage Pail Kids Chrome →
All grades · value and PSA population
ALIEN IAN ACTIVEno PSA 10 listed on eBay right now
RAW (UNGRADED) — NOT A GRADED VALUE
$4
2 raw sales used for this value
view raw sales →
Front
Back
Price history · PSA 10
On-the-record sales go back as far as PSA reports them — late 2017 for GPK — plus eBay-tracked and raw sales as they land.
🗑️ The Garbologist says…
Too Thin To Call
The Garbologist sniffed around the sales pile.
- Only 2 recorded sales on the books — not enough for a trend without kidding ourselves. The last one changed hands at $65 on 2025-08-21.
- With this little to go on, the honest answer is we can't call a direction — one auction would swing the whole read.
Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.
Alien Ian — across every card
Subject page →Every Alien Ian card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.
🧬 Should I slab it?
Keep it rawAbout 1 in 2 copies of 2021 Chrome Atomicrefractor cards get a 10, and a 9 is worth $28 — less than the $92 it costs to grade.
Expected value if gradedunder $0 (the likely slab, $59, is $33 short of the $92 all-in cost)
Raw value today$4 (from 2 raw sales)
VerdictKeep it raw
Break-even: you need about a 98% chance of a PSA 10 (2021 Chrome Atomicrefractor cards: 46%).
Chance of a PSA 10
46%
2021 Chrome Atomicrefractor cards · 327 graded
PSA 10 value
$97
today · ~$97 by Feb 12, 2027
PSA 9 value
$28
today · ~$28 by Feb 12, 2027
All-in cost
$92
PSA fee $60 + shipping both ways $32
How these numbers work
All-in cost $92: PSA Standard tier fee $60 per card, insured shipping to PSA ~$12, PSA insured return shipping ~$20. Sending it to your PSA Vault instead skips return shipping (vault intake and storage are free): ~$72 all-in, so a graded copy would net ~under $0.
Grade odds (2021 Chrome Atomicrefractor cards, 327 PSA-graded): 10 · 46%, 9 · 43%, 8 · 9%, 7 or lower · 2%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Grade odds (2021 Chrome Atomicrefractor cards, 327 PSA-graded): 10 · 46%, 9 · 43%, 8 · 9%, 7 or lower · 2%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Alien Ian #138a Atomic Refractor /199 Garbage Pail Kids value by grade
| Grade | Value | Sales | PSA pop |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $97 | 2 | 2 |
| PSA 9 | $28 est. | 0 | 5 |
Every grade of this card on one page. Est. = no sale at that grade yet. Tap a grade above to switch the whole page to it.
