Ali Gator #100a
Black Wave Refractor /99
ScarcityNumbered to 99 · 1 in 57 packs
Print run 99, as stated by PSA’s parallel list and Topps’ odds sheet. Topps’ stated pack odds: Black Wave Refractor /99 1:57.
PSA pop1
PSA 9 · 2020 Garbage Pail Kids Chrome →
All grades · value and PSA population
ALI GATOR ACTIVEno PSA 9 listed on eBay right now
Front
Back
Price history · PSA 9
On-the-record sales go back as far as PSA reports them — late 2017 for GPK — plus eBay-tracked and raw sales as they land.
🗑️ The Garbologist says…
Too Thin To Call
The Garbologist popped the lid on this card.
- Only 1 recorded sale on the books — not enough for a trend without kidding ourselves. The last one changed hands at $17 on 2022-01-24.
- With this little to go on, the honest answer is we can't call a direction — one auction would swing the whole read.
Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.
Ali Gator — across every card
Subject page →Every Ali Gator card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.
🧬 Should I slab it?
No raw price yetAbout 5 in 10 copies of 2020 Chrome cards get a 10. A graded copy should be worth about $0 after the $92 cost; we have no raw sale of this card to compare.
Expected value if gradedunder $0 (the likely slab, $45, is $47 short of the $92 all-in cost)
Raw value todayno raw sale on record
VerdictNo raw price yet
Even a PSA 10 would not beat the cost.
Chance of a PSA 10
50%
all 2020 Chrome cards · 3,825 graded
PSA 10 value
$65
today · ~$65 by Jan 21, 2027
PSA 9 value
$26
today · ~$26 by Jan 21, 2027
All-in cost
$92
PSA fee $60 + shipping both ways $32
How these numbers work
All-in cost $92: PSA Standard tier fee $60 per card, insured shipping to PSA ~$12, PSA insured return shipping ~$20. Sending it to your PSA Vault instead skips return shipping (vault intake and storage are free): ~$72 all-in, so a graded copy would net ~under $0.
Grade odds (all 2020 Chrome cards, 3,825 PSA-graded): 10 · 50%, 9 · 43%, 8 · 5%, 7 or lower · 1%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Jan 21, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Grade odds (all 2020 Chrome cards, 3,825 PSA-graded): 10 · 50%, 9 · 43%, 8 · 5%, 7 or lower · 1%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Jan 21, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
