Shel Game #581a

Checklist
ScarcityPSA has graded 1.6x more base copies
PSA has graded 29 of the base card and 18 of this parallel (all grades). Graded counts are not print runs.
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Active on eBay · for sale now
PSA pop11

PSA 9 · 1988 Garbage Pail Kids Original Series 15 →

— Hold · next 3 monthsSold for about $17 lately, with no sale in the year before to compare. Cards in this spot have stayed about flat over the next 3 months (12,312 past cases). The set chart is down over 90 days, but most of its cards sold higher this quarter than in the nine months before.
PSA pop · this parallel
11
Card # 581a⇄ 581B3-Card Monte
GPK Price Guide Value iGPK Price Guide Value is a recency-weighted market value from REAL sales of this exact card+grade (recent comps count most, outliers stripped) — steadier and harder to game than a single 'last sale', which can be one lucky auction or a shill bid. When a card has few or no recent comps, we estimate transparently from its own older sales, its other grades, and comparable cards (same subject/set/rarity tier), factoring subject trend and scarcity — and we LABEL it as an estimate until real sales arrive.
$17
PSA 9 · this grade
PSA 10 comp $178
🟢 lowest on eBay: $33.50 all-in
🛒 1 listing on eBay now PSA 9 SLAB
● real comps ● est. — own older sales ● est. — never sold ● unsold
Price history · PSA 9
On-the-record sales go back as far as PSA reports them — late 2017 for GPK — plus eBay-tracked and raw sales as they land.
DatePriceGradeCertType
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🗑️ The Garbologist says…

Trending Up
The Garbologist has been digging through this one's trash.
  • 3 recorded sales · 2 in the last year · trades only a few times a year · limited-confidence sample.
  • Its last few sales went $13 → $17 → $17 — a clear march higher.
  • Median moved +31% across the window ($13 → $17).
  • Net-net, the momentum points up — real buyers are paying more, more often. Not a promise, just what the garbage is telling us.

Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.

Shel Game — across every card

Subject page →
Every Shel Game card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.

🧬 Should I slab it?

NO RAW PRICE YET

About a 33% gem (PSA 10) rate on this card's own PSA pop - graded pop is self-selected (best copies get submitted), so a random raw likely grades lower. Expected value ~$70 before the $80 PSA fee (fee only - excludes shipping & insurance), ~$-10 after. No raw (ungraded) sale of this card is on record, so there is no raw price to compare grading against yet.

Gem (PSA 10) rate
33%
this card · 18 graded
PSA 10 value
$178
if you hit the ten
Grading cost
$80
PSA Regular tier
Expected after grade
$-10
no raw sale on record to compare

Probability-weighted across grades using PSA population (this card) as a proxy for cut & print quality, minus the grading fee. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and eye-appeal on your specific copy decide the grade.

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