Murray Christmas #297B
Checklist
ScarcityPSA has graded about as many base copies
PSA has graded 56 of the base card and 58 of this parallel (all grades). Graded counts are not print runs.
PSA pop12
All grades · value and PSA population
MURRAY CHRISTMAS ACTIVEno PSA 8 listed on eBay right now
RAW (UNGRADED) — NOT A GRADED VALUE
$2
5 raw sales used for this value
view raw sales →
Front
Back
Price history · PSA 8
On-the-record sales go back as far as PSA reports them — late 2017 for GPK — plus eBay-tracked and raw sales as they land.
🗑️ The Garbologist says…
Too Few Recent Sales
The Garbologist popped the lid on this card.
- 5 recorded sales · 1 in the last year · trades only a few times a year · limited-confidence sample.
- Its last few sales went $18 → $8 → $11 → $8 → $10 — choppy but broadly rangebound.
- Heads up: the last recorded sale ($10 on 2025-10-22) landed 29% below our current value — weigh it as a single data point.
- Census check: PSA has graded 56 of this card, and only 19.6% come back a 10 — gems fairly readily.
- None
Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.
Murray Christmas — across every card
Subject page →Every Murray Christmas card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.
🧬 Should I slab it?
Only if you're confident it's a 10Only about 1 in 5 copies of this card get a 10, and a 9 is worth $17 — less than the $92 it costs to grade.
Expected value if gradedunder $0 (the likely slab, $39, is $53 short of the $92 all-in cost)
Raw value today$2 (from 5 raw sales)
VerdictOnly if you're confident it's a 10
Break-even: you need about a 62% chance of a PSA 10 (this card: 19%).
Chance of a PSA 10
19%
this card · 57 graded
PSA 10 value
$164
today · ~$142 by Jan 21, 2027
PSA 9 value
$20
today · ~$17 by Jan 21, 2027
All-in cost
$92
PSA fee $60 + shipping both ways $32
How these numbers work
All-in cost $92: PSA Standard tier fee $60 per card, insured shipping to PSA ~$12, PSA insured return shipping ~$20. Sending it to your PSA Vault instead skips return shipping (vault intake and storage are free): ~$72 all-in, so a graded copy would net ~under $0.
Grade odds (this card, 57 PSA-graded): 10 · 19%, 9 · 47%, 8 · 21%, 7 or lower · 12%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Jan 21, 2027): today's values cut 13% for the set's 3-month drop of 13%.
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Grade odds (this card, 57 PSA-graded): 10 · 19%, 9 · 47%, 8 · 21%, 7 or lower · 12%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Jan 21, 2027): today's values cut 13% for the set's 3-month drop of 13%.
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
