This card30d 90d 1y All-time
Nat Nerd #172a 1986 Garbage Pail Kids Series 5 · PSA 10
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All grades · value and PSA population
NAT NERD ACTIVE🟢 lowest on eBay: $805.98 all-in
🛒 34 listings on eBay now PSA 10 SLAB ×1 · RAW ×33
RAW (UNGRADED) — NOT A GRADED VALUE
$2
47 raw sales used for this value
view raw sales →
Front
Back
Price history · PSA 10
On-the-record sales go back as far as PSA reports them — late 2017 for GPK — plus eBay-tracked and raw sales as they land.
🗑️ The Garbologist says…
Cooling Off
The Garbologist has been digging through this one's trash.
- 22 recorded sales · 7 in the last year · trades only a few times a year · moderate-confidence sample.
- The recent trail reads $80 → $90 → $300 → $100 → $125 — ran up to a peak of $300, then cooled back off.
- Median moved -21% across the window ($114 → $90).
- Census check: PSA has graded 172 of this card, and only 23.8% come back a 10 — gems fairly readily.
- Net-net, the heat is coming off — recent sales are softening. Could be a breather, could be a top; the trash doesn't say which.
Automated analysis generated from this card’s real recorded sales and PSA population data — no opinions, no predictions guaranteed. Entertainment and research only, not financial advice.
Nat Nerd — across every card
Subject page →Every Nat Nerd card we track — how the character is moving, not just this one grade.
🧬 Should I slab it?
Only if you're confident it's a 10Only about 1 in 4 copies of this card get a 10, and a 9 is worth $33 — less than the $92 it costs to grade.
Expected value if gradedunder $0 (the likely slab, $44, is $48 short of the $92 all-in cost)
Raw value today$2 (from 47 raw sales)
VerdictOnly if you're confident it's a 10
Break-even: you need about a 80% chance of a PSA 10 (this card: 24%).
Chance of a PSA 10
24%
this card · 174 graded
PSA 10 value
$111
today · ~$111 by Feb 12, 2027
PSA 9 value
$33
today · ~$33 by Feb 12, 2027
All-in cost
$92
PSA fee $60 + shipping both ways $32
How these numbers work
All-in cost $92: PSA Standard tier fee $60 per card, insured shipping to PSA ~$12, PSA insured return shipping ~$20. Sending it to your PSA Vault instead skips return shipping (vault intake and storage are free): ~$72 all-in, so a graded copy would net ~under $0.
Grade odds (this card, 174 PSA-graded): 10 · 24%, 9 · 39%, 8 · 14%, 7 or lower · 23%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Grade odds (this card, 174 PSA-graded): 10 · 24%, 9 · 39%, 8 · 14%, 7 or lower · 23%. People send their best copies, so a random raw copy usually grades a bit lower.
Values when it comes back (~95 days, about Feb 12, 2027): today's values (the set has no clear 3-month trend).
Expected value if graded = each grade's chance × its value, minus the all-in cost. A guide, not a guarantee — centering and corners on your copy decide the grade.
Nat Nerd #172a 1986 Garbage Pail Kids Series 5 value by grade
| Grade | Value | Sales | PSA pop |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $111 | 22 | 41 |
| PSA 9 | $33 | 45 | 68 |
| PSA 8.5 | $21 est. | 0 | 1 |
| PSA 8 | $16 | 7 | 24 |
| PSA 7 | $16 | 2 | 7 |
| PSA 6 | $15 | 1 | 7 |
| PSA 5 | $14 est. | 0 | 15 |
| PSA 4 | $11 | 1 | 7 |
| PSA 3 | $9 est. | 0 | 2 |
| PSA 2 | $9 est. | 0 | 1 |
| PSA 1 | $8 est. | 0 | 1 |
Every grade of this card on one page. Est. = no sale at that grade yet. Tap a grade above to switch the whole page to it.
